Effective Search of Triterpenes with Anti-HSV-1 Activity Using a Classification Model by Logistic Regression

Natural products are an excellent source of skeletons for medicinal seeds. Triterpenes and saponins are representative natural products that exhibit anti-herpes simplex virus type 1 (HSV-1) activity. However, there has been a lack of comprehensive information on the anti-HSV-1 activity of triterpenes. Therefore, expanding information on the anti-HSV-1 activity of triterpenes and improving the efficiency of their exploration are urgently required. To improve the efficiency of the development of anti-HSV-1 active compounds, we constructed a predictive model for the anti-HSV-1 activity of triterpenes by using the information obtained from previous studies using machine learning methods. In this study, we constructed a binary classification model (i.e., active or inactive) using a logistic regression algorithm. As a result of the evaluation of predictive model, the accuracy for the test data is 0.79, and the area under the curve (AUC) is 0.86. Additionally, to enrich the information on the anti-HSV-1 activity of triterpenes, a plaque reduction assay was performed on 20 triterpenes. As a result, chikusetsusaponin IVa (11: IC50 = 13.06 μM) was found to have potent anti-HSV-1 with three potentially anti-HSV-1 active triterpenes. The assay result was further used for external validation of predictive model. The prediction of the test compounds in the activity test showed a high accuracy (0.83) and AUC (0.81). We also found that this predictive model was found to be able to successfully narrow down the active compounds. This study provides more information on the anti-HSV-1 activity of triterpenes. Moreover, the predictive model can improve the efficiency of the development of active triterpenes by integrating many previous studies to clarify potential relationships.